Remember presidential races before accurate polling? I don't either, but in the early days of polling, candidates had no idea who would win. Truman's victory over Dewey in 1948 was not known at the time Truman turned in for the night. Kennedy's victory over Nixon wasn't assured until the early morning hours. Now we generally know how the election will turn out on the morning of election day before the first vote is cast.
Except where polling isn't done. I have no idea who will win the race for Carbon County Commissioner. On the Democratic side, I'm fairly sure that Bill O'Gurek will do very well in Summit Hill and Lansford while the stronger areas for Jesse Walck and Rocky Ahner will be Mahoning, Lehighton, Bowmanstown, and Palmerton.
I can predict with some confidence that Mr. Green and Mr. Boyko will not win. Mr. Green, who is a smart guy, will do well in Lower Towamensing where he is Supervisor, but he is not well known in the rest of the county. Mr. Boyko has much the same problem, and he also has not been active in politics until the current election.
On the Republican side, Mr. Gerhard is well-regarded in his home area of Weatherly and its environs, while Mr. Nothstein is long-time incumbent with all of the advantages–and disadvantages–that implies.
Mr. Dellecker should do well in the more southern boroughs and townships, while Mr. Smith will probably take Mahoning and Lehighton.
Bottom line: I have no idea who will be selected in the primary. I can tell you this--I won't be going to bed early on election day next week.
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