Carbon County currently has about 20,500 Republicans and 13,500 Democrats. Any political scientist can tell you the main factor in how people vote is not their age, religion, race, educational level, or income. It is their party identification. You sometimes hear voters say, “I vote for the candidate, not the party.” Don’t believe it.
But you say, how about Independents? If you question Independents in depth, you will find that almost all of them identify with one party more than the other. Very few people are truly independent.
Democrats in Carbon did a lot of things right this year. Facebook ads, thousands of postcards and letters, yard signs, electronic billboards, door hangers, newspaper ads, door-to-door candidate visits, television ads–this was a full court press. Did it work? I’ll let you know tomorrow night, provided the results are in.
Here is what we are up against. Carbon’s sheriff is a popular guy. No scandals. No major issues. Unfortunately for him, he was a Democrat. So he changed his registration to Republican. He figured, probably correctly, that if the D appeared next to his name, he would lose.
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