Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Electoral College disaster

Quick reminder on how the Electoral College works.  Each state gets the number of Electoral College votes as it has Senators (always two) plus House members (varies by population–PA has 17 House members) so it has 19 Electoral College votes.  There are 435 House members and 100 Senators.  Throw in 3 for Washington D.C.  That makes 538.  Half of that is 269.  You need a majority to win, so you need 270.  


OK, say Robert Kennedy, Jr., runs and wins Alaska with 3 votes.  Say that Biden’s total is 269 and Trump’s is 266.  Nobody has 270.  The election then goes to the House.  Each state gets one vote, which means Wyoming, with fewer people than Boston, gets the same vote as Texas or California.  


Here is the kicker.  Each state will probably vote according to its majority in the House.  PA right now has 9 Democratic House members and 8 Republican House members.  PA will probably cast its one vote for Biden.  BUT, right now Republicans control 26 state delegations and Democrats 22.  (Two are tied.)  Trump wins.  

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